Chris Beal vs Joe Soto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69,0"Reach65,0"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
TBDTeamCentral Valley Combat Academy
What's at stake
Joe Soto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Chris Beal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1546
If they lose-10→ 1514
If they win+7→ 1671
If they lose-17→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BealJoe Soto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Soto68%
Chris Beal 32%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Soto a 68% favorite over Chris Beal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Joe Soto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1524, a 140-point edge.
Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Soto 83%.
Chris Beal carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.