Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Beal vs Patrick Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record8-6-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69,0"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Patrick Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Beal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris BealNow 1524
If they win+18→ 1542
If they lose-14→ 1510
Patrick WilliamsNow 1560
If they win+14→ 1574
If they lose-18→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
4.12
36%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
62%
Strike defense
52%
1.60
Takedown avg.
2.71
58%
Takedown accuracy
42%
78%
Takedown defense
100%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Chris BealPatrick Williams
155016002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Williams54%
Chris Beal 46%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Williams a 54% favorite over Chris Beal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Patrick Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1560 to 1524, a 36-point edge.

Patrick Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Williams 88%.

Patrick Williams carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.