Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Beal vs Victor Gabriel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record8-7-0
LightweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris BealNow 1524
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
Victor GabrielNow 1526
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.60
Takedown avg.
TBD
58%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris BealVictor Gabriel
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Gabriel66%
Chris Beal 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Gabriel a 66% favorite over Chris Beal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1526), separated by just 2 points.

Victor Gabriel 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.