Chris Birchler vs Trevor Makengo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
AllStar BJJTeamC-MAC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BirchlerTrevor Makengo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Makengo60%
Chris Birchler 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 60% favorite over Chris Birchler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Birchler's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1531), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Birchler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Birchler finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.