Chris Brown vs Danny Roberts
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74.00"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam McHale
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris BrownDanny Roberts
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Roberts62%
Chris Brown 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 62% favorite over Chris Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Brown's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Brown enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Brown finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.