Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Camozzi vs Daniel Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-15-0Record13-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76,0"Reach70,5"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamResilience Training Centre

What's at stake

Daniel Kelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris CamozziNow 1664
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
Daniel KellyNow 1701
If they win+14→ 1715
If they lose-18→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.64
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.27
Takedown avg.
1.86
19%
Takedown accuracy
34%
58%
Takedown defense
79%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Chris CamozziDaniel Kelly
165017001750201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
7 (26%)
Submission
5 (38%)
12 (44%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Camozzi and Daniel Kelly within a point of even.

Daniel Kelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1664, a 37-point edge.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Kelly 62%.

Chris Camozzi carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.