Chris Camozzi vs Daniel Kelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record13-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76,0"Reach70,5"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamResilience Training Centre
What's at stake
Daniel Kelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+14→ 1715
If they lose-18→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziDaniel Kelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Camozzi61%
Daniel Kelly 39%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Camozzi a 61% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Kelly's way (45%).
Daniel Kelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1664, a 37-point edge.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Kelly 62%.
Chris Camozzi carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.