Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Camozzi vs Dustin Jacoby

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
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Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-10-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

27-15-0Record22-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
76,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris CamozziNow 1664
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
Dustin JacobyNow 1695
If they win+11→ 1706
If they lose-13→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.27
Takedown avg.
0.32
19%
Takedown accuracy
13%
58%
Takedown defense
62%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris CamozziDustin Jacoby
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
7 (26%)
Submission
1 (5%)
12 (44%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Jacoby70%
Chris Camozzi 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 70% favorite over Chris Camozzi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1664, a 31-point edge.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.