Chris Camozzi vs Dustin Jacoby
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby68%
Chris Camozzi 32%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 68% favorite over Chris Camozzi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1664, a 31-point edge.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record22-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
76,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+11→ 1706
If they lose-13→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziDustin Jacoby