Chris Camozzi vs Francis Carmont
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record25-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Chris Camozzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Francis Carmont carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1651
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziFrancis Carmont
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Camozzi60%
Francis Carmont 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Camozzi a 60% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Chris Camozzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1644, a 20-point edge.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Francis Carmont 68%.
Chris Camozzi and Francis Carmont share 1 common opponent: Thales Leites.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.