Chris Camozzi vs Joe Riggs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record49-18-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76,0"Reach37,0"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamSoul Fighters
What's at stake
Joe Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziJoe Riggs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Camozzi58%
Joe Riggs 42%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Camozzi a 58% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Riggs's way (44%).
Joe Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1664, a 40-point edge.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.