Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Camozzi vs Nick Catone

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Catone
us

Nick Catone

“The Jersey Devil”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

27-15-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76,0"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Chris Camozzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nick Catone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris CamozziNow 1664
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
Nick CatoneNow 1619
If they win+18→ 1637
If they lose-14→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
56%
Strike defense
63%
0.27
Takedown avg.
3.71
19%
Takedown accuracy
44%
58%
Takedown defense
83%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Chris CamozziNick Catone
160016502012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
7 (26%)
Submission
3 (30%)
12 (44%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Camozzi61%
Nick Catone 39%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Camozzi a 61% favorite over Nick Catone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Chris Camozzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1619, a 45-point edge.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Nick Catone 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.