Chris Camozzi vs Ronaldo Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record26-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76,0"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
Ronaldo Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Camozzi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1679
If they lose-9→ 1655
If they win+9→ 1758
If they lose-15→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziRonaldo Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronaldo Souza58%
Chris Camozzi 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Souza a 58% favorite over Chris Camozzi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Ronaldo Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1664, a 85-point edge.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.
Chris Camozzi carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.