Chris Camozzi vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record18-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Breese66%
Chris Camozzi 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Breese a 66% favorite over Chris Camozzi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Camozzi's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.
Chris Camozzi and Tom Breese share 1 common opponent: Emiliano Sordi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.