Chris Camozzi vs Trevor Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
27-15-0Record15-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach41,5"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Chris Camozzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Trevor Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
If they win+19→ 1619
If they lose-13→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CamozziTrevor Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Camozzi69%
Trevor Smith 31%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Camozzi a 69% favorite over Trevor Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Chris Camozzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1600, a 64-point edge.
Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Smith 67%.
Chris Camozzi and Trevor Smith share 1 common opponent: Thales Leites.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.