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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Cariaso vs Edgar Cháirez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record14-7-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach71"
125 lbsWeight131 lbs
Fight and FitnessTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris CariasoNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Edgar CháirezNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
61%
Strike defense
46%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0
39%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
48%
0.84
Submission avg.
1.44

Trajectory

Chris CariasoEdgar Cháirez
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (12%)
Submission
9 (64%)
12 (71%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Cháirez54%
Chris Cariaso 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 54% favorite over Chris Cariaso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Cariaso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Cariaso finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Cháirez 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.