Chris Cariaso vs Henry Cejudo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record16-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'4"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight and FitnessTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Henry Cejudo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Cariaso carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-8→ 1628
If they win+10→ 1780
If they lose-22→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CariasoHenry Cejudo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Henry Cejudo79%
Chris Cariaso 21%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Henry Cejudo a 79% favorite over Chris Cariaso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Henry Cejudo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1636, a 134-point edge.
Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Cariaso finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.
Chris Cariaso and Henry Cejudo share 2 common opponents: Sergio Pettis and Demetrious Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.