Chris Cariaso vs Takeru Uchida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight and FitnessTeamParaestra Matsudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CariasoTakeru Uchida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takeru Uchida70%
Chris Cariaso 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Takeru Uchida a 70% favorite over Chris Cariaso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Cariaso's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1636), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Takeru Uchida enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chris Cariaso finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.