Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Cariaso vs Victor Altamirano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record12-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight and FitnessTeamDouble Five Mid Cities

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris CariasoNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Victor AltamiranoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
61%
Strike defense
53%
1.11
Takedown avg.
2.88
39%
Takedown accuracy
38%
58%
Takedown defense
63%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris CariasoVictor Altamirano
16501700201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (12%)
Submission
4 (33%)
12 (71%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Cariaso and Victor Altamirano within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1636), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Cariaso finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Victor Altamirano 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.