Chris Cariaso vs Will Campuzano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight and FitnessTeamCampuzano Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
If they win+17→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris CariasoWill Campuzano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Cariaso58%
Will Campuzano 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Cariaso a 58% favorite over Will Campuzano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1623), separated by just 13 points.
Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Cariaso finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Will Campuzano 71%.
Chris Cariaso and Will Campuzano share 1 common opponent: Sergio Pettis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.