Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Clements vs Conor McCarthy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamSBG Naas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris ClementsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Conor McCarthyNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
32%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.29
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris ClementsConor McCarthy
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Conor McCarthy60%
Chris Clements 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Conor McCarthy a 60% favorite over Chris Clements in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Clements's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Clements finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Conor McCarthy 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.