Chris Clements vs Stephen Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record17-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamTeam Upstate Karate
What's at stake
Stephen Thompson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Chris Clements carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1595
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-20→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris ClementsStephen Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Thompson78%
Chris Clements 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Thompson a 78% favorite over Chris Clements in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Stephen Thompson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1607, a 95-point edge.
Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Clements finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Thompson 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.