Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Condo vs Roggers Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-10-0
TBDDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'4"
TBDReach79"
TBDWeight265 lbs
TeamAlcateia MMA

What's at stake

Roggers Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Condo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris CondoNow 1477
If they win+28→ 1505
If they lose-20→ 1457
Roggers SouzaNow 1530
If they win+14→ 1544
If they lose-18→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris CondoRoggers Souza
150015501600200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Roggers Souza66%
Chris Condo 34%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 66% favorite over Chris Condo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Roggers Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1477, a 53-point edge.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roggers Souza 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.