Chris Condo vs Ron Waterman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record16-6-2
TBDDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'2"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight260 lbs
TeamColorado Stars
What's at stake
Ron Waterman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Condo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+34→ 1511
If they lose-14→ 1463
If they win+9→ 1646
If they lose-23→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris CondoRon Waterman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ron Waterman72%
Chris Condo 28%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Ron Waterman a 72% favorite over Chris Condo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Ron Waterman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1477, a 160-point edge.
Ron Waterman 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.