Chris Culley vs Chuy Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-16-0Record1-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Millennia MMATeamAgoge Combatives· 1612 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris CulleyChuy Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chuy Rodriguez55%
Chris Culley 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chuy Rodriguez a 55% favorite over Chris Culley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Culley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1529), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Culley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Culley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.