Chris Culley vs Yusuke Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-16-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Millennia MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CulleyYusuke Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusuke Sato62%
Chris Culley 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusuke Sato a 62% favorite over Chris Culley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Culley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1527), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Culley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Culley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.