Chris Curtis vs Joaquin Buckley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-13-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Curtis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-11→ 1709
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CurtisJoaquin Buckley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Buckley71%
Chris Curtis 29%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 71% favorite over Chris Curtis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1720, a 35-point edge.
Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Buckley 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.