Chris Curtis vs Paul Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-13-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
75"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight159 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1583 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris CurtisPaul Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Curtis55%
Paul Hughes 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Curtis a 55% favorite over Paul Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1719), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Paul Hughes 71%.
Chris Curtis carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.