Chris Curtis vs Phil Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-13-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Chris Curtis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Phil Hawes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1705
If they win+20→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CurtisPhil Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Curtis72%
Phil Hawes 28%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Curtis a 72% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Chris Curtis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1623, a 97-point edge.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.
Phil Hawes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.