Chris Curtis vs Rodolfo Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-13-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
75"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
Chris Curtis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rodolfo Vieira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1729
If they lose-14→ 1705
If they win+19→ 1666
If they lose-13→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CurtisRodolfo Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Curtis60%
Rodolfo Vieira 40%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Curtis a 60% favorite over Rodolfo Vieira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Chris Curtis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1647, a 72-point edge.
Rodolfo Vieira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Vieira 91%.
Chris Curtis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.