Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Curtis vs Samandar Murodov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Curtis
us

Chris Curtis

“The Action Man”

32-13-0MiddleweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

32-13-0Record10-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Club Akhmat Tajikistan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris CurtisNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Samandar MurodovNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
52%
Strike accuracy
81%
6.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
54%
Strike defense
0%
0
Takedown avg.
3.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
83%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3.01

Trajectory

Chris CurtisSamandar Murodov
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (3%)
Submission
5 (50%)
14 (44%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Samandar Murodov60%
Chris Curtis 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Samandar Murodov a 60% favorite over Chris Curtis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Curtis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.

Samandar Murodov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Samandar Murodov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.