Chris Daukaus vs Curtis Blaydes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-8-0Record19-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
76"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight256 lbs
Team BalanceTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Chris Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1634
If they lose-9→ 1602
If they win+7→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DaukausCurtis Blaydes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes92%
Chris Daukaus 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 92% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1611, a 157-point edge.
Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 68%.
Chris Daukaus and Curtis Blaydes share 2 common opponents: Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Derrick Lewis.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.