Chris Daukaus vs Derrick Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-8-0Record29-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight264 lbs
What's at stake
Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chris Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1633
If they lose-10→ 1601
If they win+8→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DaukausDerrick Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis73%
Chris Daukaus 27%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 73% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1611, a 134-point edge.
Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Lewis 86%.
Chris Daukaus and Derrick Lewis share 1 common opponent: Rodrigo Nascimento.
Derrick Lewis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.