Chris Daukaus vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-8-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight259 lbs
Team BalanceTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Chris Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-20→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DaukausJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jairzinho Rozenstruik72%
Chris Daukaus 28%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 72% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jairzinho Rozenstruik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1611, a 93-point edge.
Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Chris Daukaus and Jairzinho Rozenstruik share 1 common opponent: Curtis Blaydes.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.