Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Daukaus vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BalanceTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris DaukausNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
50%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
55%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.15
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
100%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris DaukausMarcin Prachnio
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Prachnio52%
Chris Daukaus 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 52% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Daukaus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1611), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Chris Daukaus and Marcin Prachnio share 1 common opponent: Khalil Rountree Jr..

Chris Daukaus carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Khalil Rountree Jr.
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021