Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Daniel Omielanczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record26-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
80,0"Reach74,0"
243 lbsWeight254 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

Daniel Omielanczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris de la Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+28→ 1580
If they lose-20→ 1532
Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+10→ 1624
If they lose-14→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
46%
Strike accuracy
57%
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
44%
Strike defense
48%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0.56
31%
Takedown accuracy
27%
33%
Takedown defense
68%
1.01
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaDaniel Omielanczuk
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
2 (40%)
Submission
10 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Omielanczuk61%
Chris de la Rocha 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Omielanczuk a 61% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Daniel Omielanczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1552, a 62-point edge.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Omielanczuk 62%.

Chris de la Rocha carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.