Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Juan Adams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Juan Adams
us

Juan Adams

“The Kraken”

10-6-0HeavyweightPCS

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
80,0"Reach80,0"
243 lbsWeight265 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Juan AdamsNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
7.09
46%
Strike accuracy
56%
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.06
44%
Strike defense
35%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0.91
31%
Takedown accuracy
67%
33%
Takedown defense
57%
1.01
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaJuan Adams
155016002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
2 (40%)
Submission
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Juan Adams60%
Chris de la Rocha 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Juan Adams a 60% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1557), separated by just 5 points.

Juan Adams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Juan Adams 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.