Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
80,0"Reach76"
243 lbsWeight264 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamUniq Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
2.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.01
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaMarek Samociuk
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Samociuk60%
Chris de la Rocha 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 60% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris de la Rocha's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1551), separated by just 1 points.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Chris de la Rocha carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.