Chris de la Rocha vs Matt Adams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record6-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
80,0"Reach75"
243 lbsWeight263 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamRaw MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1577
If they lose-23→ 1529
If they win+23→ 1583
If they lose-25→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris de la RochaMatt Adams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Adams60%
Chris de la Rocha 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Adams a 60% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1560), separated by just 8 points.
Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Adams 83%.
Chris de la Rocha carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.