Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Rashad Coulter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record9-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80,0"Reach41,5"
243 lbsWeight208 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+25→ 1577
If they lose-23→ 1529
Rashad CoulterNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
4.82
46%
Strike accuracy
56%
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.68
44%
Strike defense
51%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0
31%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
63%
1.01
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaRashad Coulter
155016001650201720182019

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Rashad Coulter56%
Chris de la Rocha 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rashad Coulter a 56% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1560), separated by just 8 points.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Coulter 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.