Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Ryan Firinaiu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
80,0"Reach-
243 lbsWeight205 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamMMA Gold Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Ryan FirinaiuNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
2.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.01
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaRyan Firinaiu
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Firinaiu79%
Chris de la Rocha 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 79% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1557), separated by just 5 points.

Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.