Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Dempsey vs Ilir Latifi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilir Latifi
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Ilir Latifi

“The Sledgehammer”

16-9-0HeavyweightUFC

1667Good

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record16-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height5'10"
40,0"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight250 lbs
Cold Steel MMATeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Ilir Latifi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Chris Dempsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris DempseyNow 1303
If they win+28→ 1331
If they lose-3→ 1300
Ilir LatifiNow 1667
If they win+4→ 1671
If they lose-28→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
32%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
66%
Strike defense
56%
2.64
Takedown avg.
2.11
24%
Takedown accuracy
36%
17%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Chris DempseyIlir Latifi
130014001500160017002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
3 (27%)
Submission
4 (25%)
6 (55%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilir Latifi78%
Chris Dempsey 22%Elo baseline: 89%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilir Latifi a 78% favorite over Chris Dempsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (89%).

Ilir Latifi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1303, a 364-point edge.

Chris Dempsey enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Chris Dempsey finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Ilir Latifi 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.