Chris Dempsey vs Jonathan Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
40,0"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight217 lbs
Cold Steel MMATeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Jonathan Wilson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Chris Dempsey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1329
If they lose-3→ 1300
If they win+6→ 1552
If they lose-26→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DempseyJonathan Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Wilson75%
Chris Dempsey 25%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Wilson a 75% favorite over Chris Dempsey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Jonathan Wilson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1546 to 1303, a 243-point edge.
Chris Dempsey enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Dempsey finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Wilson 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.