Chris Droege vs Dean Lister
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
73.5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Upgraded IndustriesTeamVictory MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris DroegeDean Lister
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Droege51%
Dean Lister 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Droege a 51% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1558), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Droege enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dean Lister 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.