Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Fishgold vs Clay Collard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record25-13-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
68,0"Reach73.00"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Next Generation UKTeamFour7 Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris FishgoldNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Clay CollardNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.22
32%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
47%
Strike defense
51%
2.59
Takedown avg.
2.81
46%
Takedown accuracy
39%
44%
Takedown defense
71%
1.29
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Chris FishgoldClay Collard
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
13 (72%)
Submission
3 (12%)
3 (17%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Fishgold59%
Clay Collard 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Fishgold a 59% favorite over Clay Collard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Fishgold enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Fishgold finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Clay Collard 60%.

Clay Collard carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.