Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Fishgold vs Jared Gordon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68,0"Reach68"
149 lbsWeight156 lbs
Next Generation UKTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Fishgold carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris FishgoldNow 1637
If they win+13→ 1650
If they lose-11→ 1626
Jared GordonNow 1678
If they win+11→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
5.64
32%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
47%
Strike defense
56%
2.59
Takedown avg.
1.78
46%
Takedown accuracy
33%
44%
Takedown defense
60%
1.29
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris FishgoldJared Gordon
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
13 (72%)
Submission
2 (10%)
3 (17%)
Decision
11 (52%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Gordon70%
Chris Fishgold 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 70% favorite over Chris Fishgold in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1637, a 41-point edge.

Chris Fishgold enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Fishgold finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.