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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Fishgold vs Lucas Ganin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lucas Ganin
ar

Lucas Ganin

“Tazmania”

9-3-0FeatherweightMMAM

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68,0"Reach-
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation UKTeamIS 360 Sport Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris FishgoldNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Lucas GaninNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
32%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
2.59
Takedown avg.
Not available
46%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
44%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.29
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chris FishgoldLucas Ganin
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
13 (72%)
Submission
6 (67%)
3 (17%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Fishgold54%
Lucas Ganin 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Fishgold a 54% favorite over Lucas Ganin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1637), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Fishgold enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lucas Ganin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Fishgold finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Ganin 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.