Chris Fishgold vs Vicente Vargas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record24-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach-
149 lbsWeight147 lbs
Next Generation UKTeamTeam Ludus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris FishgoldVicente Vargas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Vargas58%
Chris Fishgold 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Vargas a 58% favorite over Chris Fishgold in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Fishgold's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Fishgold enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Vicente Vargas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Fishgold finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.