Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gruetzemacher vs Claudio Puelles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
68"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
2 Knuckle Sports MMA AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Claudio Puelles is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Gruetzemacher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris GruetzemacherNow 1608
If they win+18→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1594
Claudio PuellesNow 1648
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
57%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
53%
Strike defense
46%
0.21
Takedown avg.
3.17
50%
Takedown accuracy
37%
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Chris GruetzemacherClaudio Puelles
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
3 (20%)
Submission
7 (58%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudio Puelles70%
Chris Gruetzemacher 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudio Puelles a 70% favorite over Chris Gruetzemacher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Claudio Puelles holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1608, a 40-point edge.

Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Gruetzemacher finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Claudio Puelles 75%.

Claudio Puelles carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.