Chris Gruetzemacher vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
2 Knuckle Sports MMA AcademyTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Gruetzemacher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1594
If they win+11→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris GruetzemacherJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Gruetzemacher58%
Joe Lauzon 42%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gruetzemacher a 58% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Lauzon's way (44%).
Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1608, a 41-point edge.
Chris Gruetzemacher finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.