Chris Gruetzemacher vs Yancy Medeiros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
2 Knuckle Sports MMA AcademyTeamTeam Hakuilua
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris GruetzemacherYancy Medeiros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Gruetzemacher52%
Yancy Medeiros 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gruetzemacher a 52% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yancy Medeiros's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Gruetzemacher finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.
Yancy Medeiros carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.