Chris Heatherly vs Magnus Conrado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record20-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
180 lbsWeight157 lbs
Fit or FightTeamHikari MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris HeatherlyMagnus Conrado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magnus Conrado53%
Chris Heatherly 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Conrado a 53% favorite over Chris Heatherly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Heatherly's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Magnus Conrado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Heatherly finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Conrado 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.